Theatre Nerds 2017 Tony Award Predictions

It’s that time of year again, Theatre Nerds! Tony Award season is right around the corner, and the nominations will be here before we know it (May 2, to be exact). With such an exciting Broadway season soon wrapping up, the competition is ferocious for this year’s awards. Here are our predictions for the nominations of the 2017 Tony Awards:

Best Musical:

  • “Dear Evan Hansen”
  • “Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812”
  • “Come From Away”
  • “War Paint”
  • “Groundhog Day”

Our pick for winning: “Dear Evan Hansen”

Best Play:

  • “Indecent”
  • “Oslo”
  • “A Doll’s House, Pt. 2”
  • “The Play That Goes Wrong”
  • “Significant Other”

Our pick for winning: “Indecent”

Best Revival of a Musical:

  • “Falsettos”
  • “Hello, Dolly!”
  • “Cats”
  • “Miss Saigon”
  • “Sunset Boulevard”

Our pick for winning: “Falsettos”

Best Revival of a Play:

  • “The Front Page”
  • “Six Degrees of Separation”
  • “The Glass Menagerie”
  • “The Cherry Orchard”
  • “The Little Foxes”

Our pick for winning: “The Front Page.”

Best Leading Actor in a Musical:

  • Ben Platt in “Dear Evan Hansen”
  • Christian Borle in “Falsettos”
  • Josh Groban in “Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812”
  • Andy Karl in “Groundhog Day”
  • David Hyde Pierce in “Hello, Dolly!”

Our pick for winning: Ben Platt.

Best Leading Actress in a Musical:

  • Bette Midler in “Hello, Dolly!”
  • Stephanie J. Block in “Falsettos”
  • Eva Noblezada in “Miss Saigon”
  • Phillipa Soo in “Amelie”
  • Patti LuPone in “War Paint”

Our pick for winning: Stephanie J. Block.

Best Featured Actor in a Musical:

  • Andrew Rannells in “Falsettos”
  • Joel Hatch in “Come From Away”
  • Michael Park in “Dear Evan Hansen”
  • Lucas Steele in “Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812”
  • Gavin Creel in “Hello, Dolly!”

Our pick for winning: Joel Hatch.

Best Featured Actress in a Musical:

  • Laura Dreyfuss in “Dear Evan Hansen”
  • Rachel Bay Jones in “Dear Evan Hansen”
  • Jenn Colella in “Come From Away”
  • Brittain Ashford in “Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812”
  • Jennifer Laura Thompson in “Dear Evan Hansen”

Our pick for winning: Laura Dreyfuss in “Dear Evan Hansen”

Best Leading Actor in a Play:

  • Nathan Lane in “The Front Page”
  • Kevin Kline in “Present Laughter”
  • Joe Mantello in “The Glass Menagerie”
  • John Benjamin Hickey in “Six Degrees of Separation”
  • Gideon Glick in “Significant Other”

Our pick for winning: Nathan Lane

Best Leading Actress in a Play:

  • Diane Lane in “The Cherry Orchard”
  • Mary-Louise Parker in “Heisenberg”
  • Cate Blanchett in “The Present”
  • Cynthia Nixon in “The Little Foxes”
  • Laura Linney in “The Little Foxes”

Our pick for winning: Laura Linney.

Best Book of a Musical:

  • Irene Sankoff and David Hein for “Come From Away”
  • Steven Levenson for “Dear Evan Hansen”
  • Terrence McNally for “Anastasia”
  • Dave Malloy for “Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812”
  • Doug Wright for “War Paint”

Our pick for winning: “Dear Evan Hansen.”

Best Score for a Musical:

  • Irene Sankoff and David Hein for “Come From Away”
  • Benj Pasek and Justin Paul for “Dear Evan Hansen”
  • Dave Malloy for “Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812”
  • Tim Minchin for “Groundhog Day”
  • Kristen Anderson-Lopez, James-Allen Ford, Russ Kaplan and Sara Wordsworth for “In Transit”

Our pick for winning: “Dear Evan Hansen.”

Let us know your Tony predictions in the comments below…

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Written by Joseph Kisiday

Joseph Kisiday is a 2016 graduate from Christopher Newport University, majoring in Music Composition. Joseph's love for theatre came at a young age through discovering the musicals of Andrew Lloyd Webber, such as "Cats" and "The Phantom of the Opera." When he is not writing, Joseph can be found watching operas or Miyazaki films.


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  1. Dear Evan Hansen might as well just walk away with everything haha?, they deserve it though it’s absolutely AMAZING. I do feel like they should have Anastasia there too! And maybe more Amelie?

  2. I think you are discounting Come From Away too much. Dear Evan Hansen is beautiful and topical, but I think that CFA is necessary right now. It will need to be honoured in some way. Maybe not best score or musical – possibly the book, the direction, or Jenn Collela. Her big number is a whole musical in 4 minutes.

  3. I think Stephanie J. Block is being considered in featured performance in a musical for Falsettos and not in lead. I think Bette Midler will be taking Best Actress in a Musical Tony this year.

    • totally agree! I was about to comment that myself haha. I really love the work that Laura Dreyfuss is doing in “Dear Evan Hansen,” along with Jenn’s moving stuff in “Come From Away.” Gah, it’s so hard to say..I’d really love Stephanie to be recognised because her Trina was truly special, but there’s just so much great talent this season!

  4. SJB for Falsettos is considered “actress in a supporting role” which was considered by the Tony Board a few weeks ago. Also I can see that “Dear Evan Hansen” was a heavy favorite of your’s. Let’s not forget that there is more then Dear Evan Hansen, such as the well received Great Comet, which Benton should be put in place for leading actress. Also Jon Jon for leading actor considering every critic praised his role from the production and he also received a nomination at the Oliver Awards when the production was on West End. Let’s also not forget that Borle is also playing a very iconic role in “Charlie”. So I would go back and reconsider some of your choices you put.

    • We’ve seen them all and stick by it 🙂 We welcome your opinion though! I didn’t think Great Comet was that good passed the set and a good performance or two. The story wasn’t compelling and the music all over the place. You never wanted to root for any character.

      • I disagree. I think that one of the huge points in Great Comet is the frivolousness of what’s going on (because there’s a war going on out there… somewhere :)) Honestly, I adore Dear Evan Hansen, but I couldn’t choose between it and GC. They are both uniquely great.

      • A. The music is not all over the place. Wdym by that
        B. The story is the same story (well at least part of it) as war and peace. By saying the story isn’t compelling you are putting down one of the bestselling books OF ALL TIME. And who isn’t rooting for Natasha

  5. Having seen all of them as well, my favorite was Dear Evan Hansen but then Come From Away snuck in there and passed it. I love the staging, double characters and the music. I definitely think Ben will win since he holds up the show and I love the music but I think as a whole, CFA is a better ensemble piece. I also loved Anastasia and the music was great. Comet has a gorgeous set and idolize the music but there was too much going on for me to stay focused and I didn’t care much about any character in the show.

  6. Totally agree with Ben Platt winning here. some sites don’t even have him nominated which seems so unrealistic.

    I also think that Harold Perrineau should receive a featured actor nomination for The Cherry Orchard. His role was stellar in a play with its fair share of problems.

    Also, anyone see The Price? I have heard good things.

  7. I don’t think DEH is going to win as many as you are predicting, but I think it will take the spotlight this year. They will probably win best set. I honestly doubt Anastasia will get many, it wasn’t anything spectacular or creative. It may get lighting. Great Comet will probably take home a few. I kind of hope Cats wins best revival, but it wasn’t that creative of a revise. Idk guys, but I’m excited to watch this year.

  8. I know everybody is entitled to their own opinions, but there are a few glaring things I have to object to. No way Cherry Orchard gets nominated for anything. One of the most universally panned productions this season, musical or play (revival or new). Same for Glass Menagerie too, but to a lesser extent. Also, no way the mildly-received Front Page wins Revival, especially in the face of wildly acclaimed Jitney (which isn’t even mentioned?) and The Little Foxes. As others have pointed out, Nathan Lane is not a lead actor. Neither is Stephanie J Block. Supporting Actress is Rachel’s for the losing; her costar Laura has mostly been overlooked and, while I’m maybe expecting a nomination, a win would be quite the uphill battle. No Allison Janney but John nominated for SDS seems… impossible. Sweat won the Pulitzer Prize and is probably the frontrunner for play; not even nominating it is a huge oversight. Finally, Hello, Dolly! is the closest thing for a lock in any category for wins in Revival and Actress. Even in the face of subjectivity, some of the predictions listed are really puzzling!

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